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1.
Journal of Payavard Salamat ; 16(5):435-445, 2022.
Article in Persian | Scopus | ID: covidwho-20237288

ABSTRACT

Background and Aim: With the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, the performance of hospitals were affected, and changes were made in the utilization of hospital services. Analyzing hospital performance data during the COVID-19 pandemic can provide insights into service utilization patterns and care outcomes for managers and policymakers. This study was conducted to investigate the impact of COVID-19 on selected outcome indicators in the hospitals of Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran. Materials and Methods: This research was descriptive-analytical and of the time series analysis type. Six outcome indicators were considered: hospitalization rate, bed occupancy rate, the average length of stay, emergency visits, laboratory tests, and imaging requests. Related data from 12 affiliated hospitals from 2017-2019 (pre-COVID) and 2020 (post-COVID) were obtained from the hospital's intelligent management system. The data were analyzed using R software's interrupted time series analysis method. Results: The hospitalization rate (P=0.015), bed occupancy rate (P=0.04), and the number of laboratory tests (P=0.003) significantly increased immediately after the outbreak of the pandemic. In contrast, emergency visits (P=0.034) have significantly decreased. The bed occupancy rate and the number of imaging requests showed no significant change. The decrease in emergency room visits within one year after the pandemic was significant, but the changes in other outcome indicators were non-significant (P>0.05). Conclusion: Understanding the changes and impact of a major event on hospital outcome indicators is necessary for decision-makers to effectively plan for resource allocation and effective pandemic response. The outbreak of COVID-19 has caused a change in performance and hospital outcomes by affecting the supply and demand of services. In a year after the pandemic's beginning, except for emergency visits, the other indicators have not experienced significant changes. Preservation of essential services such as emergency room visits is recommended in the strategy of rapid response to an epidemic outbreak and public campaigns to encourage people to seek medical care if needed in future waves of the pandemic. © 2022 the Authors.

2.
Int J Public Health ; 68: 1605839, 2023.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-20241630

ABSTRACT

Objectives: To provide a thorough assessment of the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the utilization of inpatient and outpatient mental healthcare in Switzerland. Methods: Retrospective cohort study using nationwide hospital data (n > 8 million) and claims data from a large Swiss health insurer (n > 1 million) in 2018-2020. Incidence proportions of different types of psychiatric inpatient admissions, psychiatric consultations, and psychotropic medication claims were analyzed using interrupted time series models for the general population and for the vulnerable subgroup of young people. Results: Inpatient psychiatric admissions in the general population decreased by 16.2% (95% confidence interval: -19.2% to -13.2%) during the first and by 3.9% (-6.7% to -0.2%) during the second pandemic shutdown, whereas outpatient mental healthcare utilization was not substantially affected. We observed distinct patterns for young people, most strikingly, an increase in mental healthcare utilization among females aged <20 years. Conclusion: Mental healthcare provision for the majority of the population was largely maintained, but special attention should be paid to young people. Our findings highlight the importance of monitoring mental healthcare utilization among different populations.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Mental Health Services , Humans , Female , Adolescent , Retrospective Studies , Switzerland/epidemiology , COVID-19/epidemiology , Pandemics
3.
Healthcare (Basel) ; 11(11)2023 Jun 02.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-20232178

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The evidence shows a reduction in pediatric emergency department (PED) flows during the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic. Using interrupted time-series analysis, we evaluated the impact of different stages of the pandemic response on overall and cause-specific PED attendance at a tertiary hospital in south Italy. Our methods included evaluations of total visits, hospitalizations, accesses for critical illnesses and four etiological categories (transmissible and non-transmissible infectious diseases, trauma and mental-health) during March-December 2020, which were compared with analogous intervals from 2016 to 2019; the pandemic period was divided into three segments: the "first lockdown" (FL, 9 March-3 May), the "post-lockdown" (PL, 4 May-6 November) and the "second lockdown" (SL, 7 November-31 December). Our results showed that attendance dropped by a mean of 50.09% during the pandemic stages, while hospitalizations increased. Critical illnesses decreased during FL (incidence rate ratio -IRR- 0.37, 95% CI 0.13, 0.88) e SL (IRR 0.09, 95% CI 0.01, 0.74) and transmissible disease related visits reduced more markedly and persistently (FL: IRR 0.18, 95% CI 0.14, 0.24; PL: IRR 0.20, 95% CI 0.13, 0.31, SL: IRR 0.17, 95% CI 0.10, 0.29). Non-infectious diseases returned to pre-COVID-19 pandemic levels by PL. We concluded that that the results highlight the specific effect of the late 2020 containment measures on transmissible infectious diseases and their burden on pediatric emergency resources. This evidence can inform resource allocation and interventions to mitigate the impact of infectious diseases on pediatric populations and the health-care system.

4.
Oral Health Prev Dent ; 21(1): 179-184, 2023 May 17.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2325052

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE: This study aimed to clarify the impact of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic on individual dental-visit behaviour and examine the difference between elderly and other individuals regarding the impact on dental visits. MATERIALS AND METHODS: An interrupted time-series analysis was performed to examine the change in data from the national database before and after the first declaration of a state of emergency. RESULTS: The number of patients visiting a dental clinic (NPVDC), number of dental treatment days (NDTD) and dental expenses (DE) during the first declaration of a state of emergency decreased by 22.1%, 17.9%, and 12.5% in the group under 64 years of age and 26.1%, 26.3%, and 20.1% in the group over 65 years of age, respectively, compared with those in the same month of the previous year. Between March and June 2020, the monthly NPVDC and NDTD were significantly reduced (p < 0.001, p = 0.013) in those over 65 years of age. The DE did not change statistically significantly in either the under 64 group or the over 65 group. There was no statistically significant change in the slope of the regression line in the NPVDC, NDTD, and DE before and after the first state-of-emergency declaration. CONCLUSION: The first state of emergency greatly reduced the NPVDC, NDTD, and DE compared to those in the previous year. In people aged over 65 years, it might still be unresolved 2 years after the postponement of dental treatment owing to the first declaration of a state of emergency.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Aged , Humans , Adult , Japan/epidemiology , Pandemics/prevention & control
5.
Cancer Epidemiol ; 85: 102391, 2023 May 17.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2323132

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic forced us to accept changes in our usual diagnostic procedures and treatments for colorectal cancer. This study aimed to determine the impact of the pandemic on colorectal cancer treatment in Japan. METHODS: The number of colorectal surgeries, stoma constructions, stent placements or long tube insertions, and neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapies were determined each month using sampling datasets from the National Database of Health Insurance Claims and Specific Health Checkups of Japan. The observation periods before and during the pandemic were January 2015 to January 2020 and April 2020 to January 2021, respectively. An interrupted time-series analysis was used to estimate the changes in the number of procedures during the pandemic. RESULTS: The number of endoscopic surgeries for colon cancer significantly decreased in April and July 2020 and for rectal cancer in April 2020. Additionally, the number of laparoscopic and open surgeries for colon cancer significantly decreased in July 2020 and October 2020, respectively. The number of stoma constructions and stent placements or long tube insertions did not increase during the observation period. Neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy for rectal cancer significantly increased in April 2020 but levels returned shortly thereafter. These results suggest that the recommendations to overcome the pandemic proposed by expert committees, including the replacement of laparoscopic surgery with open surgery, stoma construction to avoid anastomotic leak, and replacement of surgery on the ileus with stent placement, were not widely implemented in Japan. However, as an exception, neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy for rectal cancer was performed as an alternative treatment to delay surgery in small quantities. CONCLUSION: A declining number of surgeries raises concerns about cancer stage progression; however, we found no evidence to suggest cancer progression from the trajectory of the number of stoma constructions and stent placements. In Japan, even during the pandemic, conventional treatments were performed.

6.
Front Public Health ; 11: 1075691, 2023.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2312723

ABSTRACT

This article is part of the Research Topic 'Health Systems Recovery in the Context of COVID-19 and Protracted Conflict'. Introduction: After the World Health Organization declared COVID-19 a pandemic, more than 184 million cases and 4 million deaths had been recorded worldwide by July 2021. These are likely to be underestimates and do not distinguish between direct and indirect deaths resulting from disruptions in health care services. The purpose of our research was to assess the early impact of COVID-19 in 2020 and early 2021 on maternal and child healthcare service delivery at the district level in Mozambique using routine health information system data, and estimate associated excess maternal and child deaths. Methods: Using data from Mozambique's routine health information system (SISMA, Sistema de Informação em Saúde para Monitoria e Avaliação), we conducted a time-series analysis to assess changes in nine selected indicators representing the continuum of maternal and child health care service provision in 159 districts in Mozambique. The dataset was extracted as counts of services provided from January 2017 to March 2021. Descriptive statistics were used for district comparisons, and district-specific time-series plots were produced. We used absolute differences or ratios for comparisons between observed data and modeled predictions as a measure of the magnitude of loss in service provision. Mortality estimates were performed using the Lives Saved Tool (LiST). Results: All maternal and child health care service indicators that we assessed demonstrated service delivery disruptions (below 10% of the expected counts), with the number of new users of family planing and malaria treatment with Coartem (number of children under five treated) experiencing the largest disruptions. Immediate losses were observed in April 2020 for all indicators, with the exception of treatment of malaria with Coartem. The number of excess deaths estimated in 2020 due to loss of health service delivery were 11,337 (12.8%) children under five, 5,705 (11.3%) neonates, and 387 (7.6%) mothers. Conclusion: Findings from our study support existing research showing the negative impact of COVID-19 on maternal and child health services utilization in sub-Saharan Africa. This study offers subnational and granular estimates of service loss that can be useful for health system recovery planning. To our knowledge, it is the first study on the early impacts of COVID-19 on maternal and child health care service utilization conducted in an African Portuguese-speaking country.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Child Health Services , Malaria , Infant, Newborn , Child , Female , Humans , COVID-19/epidemiology , Mozambique/epidemiology , Artemether, Lumefantrine Drug Combination , Malaria/epidemiology , Mothers
7.
Epidemiol Infect ; 151: e80, 2023 05 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2319036

ABSTRACT

To mitigate the known high transmission risk in day-care facilities for children aged 0-6 years, day-care staff were given priority for SARS-CoV-2 vaccination in Rhineland-Palatinate, Germany, in March 2021. This study assessed direct and indirect effects of early vaccination of day-care staff on SARS-CoV-2 transmission in daycares with the aim to provide a basis for the prioritisation of scarce vaccines in the future. Data came from statutory infectious disease notifications in educational institutions and from in-depth investigations by the district public health authorities. Using interrupted time series analyses, we measured the effect of mRNA-based vaccination of day-care staff on SARS-CoV-2 infections and transmission. Among 566 index cases from day-care centres, the mean number of secondary SARS-CoV-2 infections per index case dropped by -0.60 case per month after March 2021. The proportion of staff among all cases reported from daycares was around 60% in the pre-interruption phase and significantly decreased by 27 percentage points immediately in March 2021 and by further 6 percentage points each month in the post-interruption phase. Early vaccination of day-care staff reduced SARS-CoV-2 cases in the overall day-care setting and thus also protected unvaccinated children. This should inform future decisions on vaccination prioritisation.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 Vaccines , COVID-19 , Child , Humans , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/prevention & control , Germany/epidemiology , Policy , SARS-CoV-2 , Vaccination , Male , Female
8.
Nurse Educ Pract ; 69: 103643, 2023 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2295422

ABSTRACT

AIM: To evaluate the trends in nursing burnout rates before and during the coronavirus 2019 restrictions. METHOD: Meta-analysis was used to extract the data on global nursing burnout from 1 Jan. 2010-15 Dec. 2022. An interrupted time-series analysis using segmented ordinary least squares (OLS) regression models was used to explore if the nursing burnout were affected by the epidemic. Newey-West standard error was used to adjust for autocorrelation and heteroskedasticity. RESULTS: Before the epidemic (April 2020), the nursing burnout rate rose with 0.0007497 (95% CI: 0.0000316, 0.0014677, t = 2.07, P = 0.041) per month. The trend of nursing burnout rate has increased by 0.0231042 (95 CI%:0.0086818, 0.0375266, t = 3.18, P = 0.002). The increasing trend of nursing burnout rate after the COVID-19 restrictions is 0.0007497 + 0.0231042 = 0.0238539 per month. CONCLUSION: The study indicated that the Covid-19 restrictions had an impact on nursing burnout, increasing the occurrence of nursing burnout syndrome.


Subject(s)
Burnout, Professional , COVID-19 , Humans , COVID-19/epidemiology , Pandemics , Preliminary Data , Burnout, Professional/epidemiology
9.
Clin Infect Dis ; 2023 Apr 19.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2294750

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The effectiveness and sustainability of masking policies as a pandemic control measure remain uncertain. Our aim was to evaluate different masking policy types on severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) incidence and to identify factors and conditions impacting effectiveness. METHODS: Nationwide, retrospective cohort study of US counties from 4/4/2020-28/6/2021. Policy impacts were estimated using interrupted time-series models with the masking policy change date (eg, recommended-to-required, no-recommendation-to-recommended, no-recommendation-to-required) modeled as the interruption. The primary outcome was change in SARS-CoV-2 incidence rate during the 12 weeks after the policy change; results were stratified by coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) risk level. A secondary analysis was completed using adult vaccine availability as the policy change. RESULTS: In total, N = 2954 counties were included (2304 recommended-to-required, 535 no-recommendation-to-recommended, 115 no-recommendation-to-required). Overall, indoor mask mandates were associated with 1.96 fewer cases/100 000/week (cumulative reduction of 23.52/100 000 residents during the 12 weeks after policy change). Reductions were driven by communities with critical and extreme COVID-19 risk, where masking mandated policies were associated with an absolute reduction of 5 to 13.2 cases/100 000 residents/week (cumulative reduction of 60 to 158 cases/100 000 residents over 12 weeks). Impacts in low- and moderate-risk counties were minimal (<1 case/100 000 residents/week). After vaccine availability, mask mandates were not associated with significant reductions at any risk level. CONCLUSIONS: Masking policy had the greatest impact when COVID-19 risk was high and vaccine availability was low. When transmission risk decreases or vaccine availability increases, the impact was not significant regardless of mask policy type. Although often modeled as having a static impact, masking policy effectiveness may be dynamic and condition dependent.

10.
J Racial Ethn Health Disparities ; 2023 Apr 24.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2292861

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Young Black men are under-represented in sexual health services and research, a condition likely magnified during COVID-19 shutdowns due to disruption of STI screening and treatment services. We examined the effect of incentivized peer referral (IPR) increasing peer referral among young Black men in a community-based chlamydia screening program. METHODS: Young Black men in New Orleans, LA, age 15-26 years enrolled in a chlamydia screening program between 3/2018 and 5/2021 were included. Enrollees were provided with recruitment materials to distribute to peers. Starting July 28, 2020, enrollees were also offered a $5 incentive for each peer enrolled. Enrollment was compared before and after the incentivize peer referral program (IPR) was implemented using multiple time series analysis (MTSA). RESULTS: The percentage of men referred by a peer was higher during IPR compared to pre-IPR (45.7% vs. 19.7%, p < 0.001). After the COVID-19 shutdown was lifted, there were 2.007 more recruitments per week (p = 0.044, 95% CI (0.0515, 3.964)) for IPR, compared to pre-IPR. Overall, there was a trending increase in recruitments in the IPR era relative to the pre-IPR era (0.0174 recruitments/week, p = 0.285, 95% CI (- 0.0146, 0.0493)) with less recruitment decay during IPR compared to pre-IPR. CONCLUSIONS: IPR may be an effective means of engaging young Black men in community-based STI research and prevention programs, particularly when clinic access is limited. CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRY SITE AND NUMBER: Clinicaltrials.gov identifier NCT03098329.

11.
Chinese Journal of Evidence-Based Medicine ; 23(3):279-285, 2023.
Article in Chinese | EMBASE | ID: covidwho-2255120

ABSTRACT

Objective In light of the comprehensively implemented reform of medical insurance payments, this study analyzed the impact of the payment intervention and COVID-19 pandemic on hospitalization expenses for identical diseases between traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) and Western medicine hospitals, to provide evidence to promote high-quality coordinated development of hospitals and insurance while reducing patient load. Methods From January 2014 to December 2020, we gathered data including 9 900 individual medical records of woman-related malignant tumors (WMT) from all 23 public hospitals in a district of Shanghai. We developed an interrupted time-series analysis model based on the above two interventions, to compare the inpatient average per-time expenses between different hospitals and different groups. Results The average per-time expenses of WMT in Western hospitals changed from rising to declining after the policy intervention, and increased again during the pandemic. In TCM hospitals, the expenses continued to increase and fluctuated after the pandemic. Conclusion The policy intervention has achieved a good effect on controlling the cost of Western hospitals, rather than the significant increase in TCM hospitals. Meanwhile, the COVID-19 pandemic has had a significant impact on hospitalization expenses. It's urgent to develop a payment model that fits the development and characteristics of TCM, to control the unreasonable growth of expenses. Moreover, the financial compensation methods and supervision mechanism of public hospitals should be improved to effectively resist the threat of public health emergencies for the development of hospitals and the legitimate rights of patients.Copyright © 2023 West China University of Medical Science. All rights reserved.

12.
Chinese Journal of Evidence-Based Medicine ; 23(3):279-285, 2023.
Article in Chinese | EMBASE | ID: covidwho-2255119

ABSTRACT

Objective In light of the comprehensively implemented reform of medical insurance payments, this study analyzed the impact of the payment intervention and COVID-19 pandemic on hospitalization expenses for identical diseases between traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) and Western medicine hospitals, to provide evidence to promote high-quality coordinated development of hospitals and insurance while reducing patient load. Methods From January 2014 to December 2020, we gathered data including 9 900 individual medical records of woman-related malignant tumors (WMT) from all 23 public hospitals in a district of Shanghai. We developed an interrupted time-series analysis model based on the above two interventions, to compare the inpatient average per-time expenses between different hospitals and different groups. Results The average per-time expenses of WMT in Western hospitals changed from rising to declining after the policy intervention, and increased again during the pandemic. In TCM hospitals, the expenses continued to increase and fluctuated after the pandemic. Conclusion The policy intervention has achieved a good effect on controlling the cost of Western hospitals, rather than the significant increase in TCM hospitals. Meanwhile, the COVID-19 pandemic has had a significant impact on hospitalization expenses. It's urgent to develop a payment model that fits the development and characteristics of TCM, to control the unreasonable growth of expenses. Moreover, the financial compensation methods and supervision mechanism of public hospitals should be improved to effectively resist the threat of public health emergencies for the development of hospitals and the legitimate rights of patients.Copyright © 2023 West China University of Medical Science. All rights reserved.

13.
Epidemiol Health ; 45: e2023022, 2023.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2266457

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: The present study examined the impact of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic on mental health service utilization through a comparative analysis of nationwide data regarding inpatient care users, outpatient visits, emergency department (ED) visits, and admissions via the ED before and during the pandemic. METHODS: Data from approximately 350,000 Koreans diagnosed with mental illness were analyzed in terms of hospitalization, outpatient visits, and ED visits between January 2018 and June 2021. An interrupted time series analysis was conducted to determine the significance of changes in mental health service utilization indicators. RESULTS: The number of hospital admissions per patient decreased by 1.2% at the start of the pandemic and 0.7% afterward. The length of hospital stay increased by 1.8% at the outbreak of the pandemic, and then decreased by 20.2%. Although the number of outpatients increased, the number of outpatient visits per patient decreased; the number of outpatient visits for schizophrenia (3.4%) and bipolar disorder (3.5%) significantly decreased immediately post-outbreak. The number of ED visits per patient decreased both immediately post-outbreak and afterward, and ED visits for schizophrenia (19.2%), bipolar disorder (22.3%), and depression (17.4%) decreased significantly immediately post-outbreak. Admissions via the ED did not show a significant change immediately post-outbreak. CONCLUSIONS: Mental health service utilization increased during the pandemic, but medical service use decreased overall, with a particularly significant decrease in ED utilization. As the pandemic worsened, the decline in outpatient visits became more pronounced among those with severe mental illness.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Mental Health Services , Patient Acceptance of Health Care , Patient Admission , Pandemics , Republic of Korea/epidemiology , Retrospective Studies , Mental Health
14.
BMC Public Health ; 23(1): 442, 2023 03 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2257891

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: This study aimed to investigate overall and age group/region/sex-specific excess all-cause mortality from the inception of the COVID-19 pandemic in Iran until February 2022. METHODS: Weekly all-cause mortality data were obtained for the period March 2015 until February 2022. We conducted interrupted time series analyses, using a generalized least-square regression model to estimate excess mortality after the COVID-19 pandemic. Using this approach, we estimated the expected post-pandemic death counts based on five years of pre-pandemic data and compared the results with observed mortality during the pandemic. RESULTS: After the COVID-19 pandemic, we observed an immediate increase (1,934 deaths per week, p = 0.01) in weekly all-cause mortality. An estimated 240,390 excess deaths were observed in two years after the pandemic. Within the same period, 136,166 deaths were officially attributed to COVID-19. The excess mortality was greatest among males compared with females (326 versus 264 per 100k), with an increasing trend by age group. There is a clear increased excess mortality in the central and northwestern provinces. CONCLUSION: We found that the full mortality burden during the outbreak has been much heavier than what is officially reported, with clear differences by sex, age group, and geographical region.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Female , Male , Humans , Iran/epidemiology , Interrupted Time Series Analysis , Pandemics , Disease Outbreaks
15.
Health Sci Rep ; 6(2): e1139, 2023 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2249062

ABSTRACT

Background and Aim: Measles is an acute viral infectious disease usually characterized by erythematous maculopapular rash and sometimes pneumonia, diarrhea, and Central Nervous System disturbance. The current study aimed to describe the trend of measles in Iran before and after the 1978 revolution and COVID-19 pandemic. Methods: In the current quasi-experimental study, we used annual data on confirmed cases of measles in Iran, from 1974 to 2021. Data were extracted from the World Health Organization website. An interrupted time series model was used to assess the effect of different events on the incidence of measles. Results: The trend of new cases increase every year until 1980 according to the preintervention slope of 2040 (95% confidence interval [CI] = -1965-2045; p < 0.31). After Iran's revolution, the occurrence of new cases significantly decreased (-845 [95% CI = -1262 to -432; p = 0.001]). After the COVID-19 pandemic, the trend of new cases significantly increased (41 [95% CI = 12-70; p = 0.006]). Conclusion: It seems that social or health-related events are among the effective factors on the incidence of measles. But with maintaining vaccination coverage in the community and vaccination of immigrants, this fluctuation in the disease trend can be decreased.

16.
J Am Med Inform Assoc ; 30(4): 634-642, 2023 03 16.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2274711

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) altered healthcare utilization patterns. However, there is a dearth of literature comparing methods for quantifying the extent to which the pandemic disrupted healthcare service provision in sub-Saharan African countries. OBJECTIVE: To compare interrupted time series analysis using Prophet and Poisson regression models in evaluating the impact of COVID-19 on essential health services. METHODS: We used reported data from Uganda's Health Management Information System from February 2018 to December 2020. We compared Prophet and Poisson models in evaluating the impact of COVID-19 on new clinic visits, diabetes clinic visits, and in-hospital deliveries between March 2020 to December 2020 and across the Central, Eastern, Northern, and Western regions of Uganda. RESULTS: The models generated similar estimates of the impact of COVID-19 in 10 of the 12 outcome-region pairs evaluated. Both models estimated declines in new clinic visits in the Central, Northern, and Western regions, and an increase in the Eastern Region. Both models estimated declines in diabetes clinic visits in the Central and Western regions, with no significant changes in the Eastern and Northern regions. For in-hospital deliveries, the models estimated a decline in the Western Region, no changes in the Central Region, and had different estimates in the Eastern and Northern regions. CONCLUSIONS: The Prophet and Poisson models are useful in quantifying the impact of interruptions on essential health services during pandemics but may result in different measures of effect. Rigor and multimethod triangulation are necessary to study the true effect of pandemics on essential health services.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Humans , SARS-CoV-2 , Interrupted Time Series Analysis , Patient Acceptance of Health Care , Ambulatory Care
17.
Health Policy ; 129: 104703, 2023 Mar.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2239928

ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION: Although childbirth services were accessible after COVID-19 outbreak, the measures taken by the Italian Government for contagion containment required some restrictions on the presence of trusted persons for mothers, forcing them to isolation during hospitalization. To preserve companionship, the Regional Health Authority of Tuscany issued a resolution providing partners with the possibility to be present during labour and childbirth for non-asymptomatic women. OBJECTIVES: In this study, we: 1) analyse the impact of pandemic on companionship in terms of significant reduction of the possibility for women to be accompanied by a trusted person during labour and childbirth; and 2) ascertain if the regional resolution issued was effective in containing the reduction of companionship. METHODS: We performed an interrupted time series analysis to measure the variation of the possibility for women to be accompanied by a trusted person during labour and childbirth, in response to formalization of lock-down due to COVID-19 outbreak and the introduction of the regional resolution aimed at contrasting negative effects on companionship. RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS: The ITS analysis showed that there was a significant decrease in the women-reported experience of companionship in the month of the formalization of lock-down, namely March 2020, followed by a slight increase in the upcoming months. A trend reversal was observed after May 2020, when the regional resolution was fully operational.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Labor, Obstetric , Pregnancy , Female , Humans , Communicable Disease Control , Parturition , Disease Outbreaks
18.
Lancet Reg Health West Pac ; 29: 100569, 2022 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2246421

ABSTRACT

Background: China implemented strict non-pharmaceutical interventions to contain COVID-19 at the early stage. We aimed to evaluate the impact of COVID-19 on HIV care continuum in China. Methods: Aggregated data on HIV care continuum between 1 January 2017 and 31 December 2020 were collected from centers for disease control and prevention at different levels and major infectious disease hospitals in various regions in China. We used interrupted time series analysis to characterize temporal trend in weekly numbers of HIV post-exposure prophylaxis (PEP) prescriptions, HIV tests, HIV diagnoses, median time intervals between HIV diagnosis and antiretroviral therapy (ART) initiation (time intervals, days), ART initiations, mean CD4+ T cell counts at ART initiation (CD4 counts, cells/µL), ART collections, and missed visits for ART collection, before and after the implementation of massive NPIs (23 January to 7 April 2020). We used Poisson segmented regression models to estimate the immediate and long-term impact of NPIs on these outcomes. Findings: A total of 16,780 PEP prescriptions, 1,101,686 HIV tests, 69,659 HIV diagnoses, 63,409 time intervals and ART initiations, 61,518 CD4 counts, 1,528,802 ART collections, and 6656 missed visits were recorded during the study period. The majority of outcomes occurred in males (55·3-87·4%), 21-50 year olds (51·7-90·5%), Southwestern China (38·2-82·0%) and heterosexual transmission (47·9-66·1%). NPIs was associated with 71·5% decrease in PEP prescriptions (IRR 0·285; 95% CI 0·192-0·423), 36·1% decrease in HIV tests (0·639, 0·497-0·822), 32·0% decrease in HIV diagnoses (0·680, 0·511-0·904), 59·3% increase in time intervals (1·593, 1·270-1·997) and 17·4% decrease in CD4 counts (0·826, 0·746-0·915) in the first week during NPIs. There was no marked change in the number of ART initiations, ART collections and missed visits during the NPIs. By the end of 2020, the number of HIV tests, HIV diagnoses, time intervals, ART initiations, and CD4 counts reached expected levels, but the number of PEP prescriptions (0·523, 0·394-0·696), ART collections (0·720, 0·595-0·872), and missed visits (0·137, 0·086-0·220) were still below expected levels. With the ease of restrictions, PEP prescriptions (slope change 1·024/week, 1·012-1·037), HIV tests (1·016/week, 1·008-1·026), and CD4 counts (1·005/week, 1·001-1·009) showed a significant increasing trend. Interpretation: HIV care continuum in China was affected by the COVID-19 NPIs at various levels. Preparedness and efforts to maintain the HIV care continuum during public health emergencies should leverage collaborations between stakeholders. Funding: Natural Science Foundation of China.

19.
Geohealth ; 7(2): e2022GH000707, 2023 Feb.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2236939

ABSTRACT

Limited research has evaluated the mental health effects during compounding disasters (e.g., a hurricane occurring during a pandemic), and few studies have examined post-disaster mental health with alternative data sources like crisis text lines. This study examined changes in crisis help-seeking for individuals in Louisiana, USA, before and after Hurricane Ida (2021), a storm that co-occurred during the COVID-19 pandemic. An interrupted time series analysis and difference-in-difference analysis for single and multiple group comparisons were used to examine pre-and post-changes in crisis text volume (i.e., any crisis text, substance use, thoughts of suicide, stress/anxiety, and bereavement) among help-seeking individuals in communities that received US Federal Emergency Management Agency individual and public assistance following a presidential disaster declaration. Results showed a significant increase in crisis texts for any reason, thoughts of suicide, stress/anxiety, and bereavement in the four-week, three-month, and four-month post-impact period. Findings highlight the need for more mental health support for residents directly impacted by disasters like Hurricane Ida.

20.
Acta Diabetol ; 2022 Nov 08.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2227737

ABSTRACT

AIMS: We assessed the impact of Covid-19 on gestational diabetes rates in Quebec, the pandemic epicenter of Canada. METHODS: We conducted a population-based study of 569,686 deliveries in Quebec between 2014 and 2021. We measured gestational diabetes rates in wave 1 (March 1, 2020-August 22, 2020) and wave 2 (August 23, 2020-March 31, 2021), compared with the prepandemic period. We used interrupted time series regression to assess changes in gestational diabetes rates during each wave, and log-binomial regression models to estimate adjusted risk ratios (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for the association of the pandemic with gestational diabetes. We identified the types of patients that contributed to the change in gestational diabetes rates using Kitagawa's decomposition. RESULTS: Gestational diabetes rates were higher during the first (13.2 per 100 deliveries) and second waves (14.3 per 100 deliveries) than during the prepandemic period (12.4 per 100 deliveries). Risk of gestational diabetes increased both in wave 1 (RR 1.05, 95% CI 1.02-1.09) and wave 2 (RR 1.14, 95% CI 1.10-1.18), compared with the prepandemic period. However, most of the increase in gestational diabetes rates was driven by low-risk women without Covid-19 infections who were socioeconomically advantaged, had no comorbidity, and were 25-34 years of age. CONCLUSIONS: Gestational diabetes rates increased during the pandemic, mainly among women traditionally at low risk of hyperglycemia who did not have Covid-19 infections. Sudden widespread changes in screening or lifestyle can have a large impact on gestational diabetes rates in a population.

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